Does 2024 turnout by its change since 2016 show a pattern in Milwaukee?
Milwaukee neighborhoods that gained more turnout since 2016 turned out more: a weak pattern across 78 neighborhoods, correlation 0.30.
The quarter of neighborhoods that gained less turnout since 2016 average 53.6%, and the quarter that gained more turnout since 2016 average 67.0%. Lincoln Village is furthest from the pattern, at 27.6% with -0.3 on the other measure.
- Middle City neighborhood
- 57.5%
- Of 78 ranked
- Metric
- Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024
- Year
- November 2024; 2016 and 2024
78 City neighborhoods on both measures
Each dot is a neighborhood. Further right means a higher number for change in turnout, 2016 to 2024, in points. Higher up means a higher number for votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024. Press a dot to open that neighborhood.
84.2%
27.6%
Correlation: 0.30 across 78 neighborhoods. Across the bottom: Change in turnout, 2016 to 2024, in points. Up the side: Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024.
City of Milwaukee neighborhoods
Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024, November 2024; 2016 and 2024. To be counted, a neighborhood has to meet the floor on both measures. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their numbers and the reason, and aren't in the correlation.
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No matches on this page.
| Fernwood | 1 | 84.2% | +5.0 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Park | 2 | 79.8% | +3.3 |
| Bay View | 3 | 78.7% | +3.9 |
| Washington Heights | 4 | 78.1% | +4.3 |
| Tippecanoe | 5 | 77.3% | +6.7 |
| Story Hill | 6 | 77.1% | +4.5 |
| Golden Valley | 7 | 74.3% | +2.8 |
| Sunset Heights | 8 | 72.4% | +6.8 |
| Grasslyn Manor | 9 | 72.3% | -2.4 |
| Town of Lake | 10 | 72.2% | +4.0 |
| Kops Park | 11 | 71.8% | -0.3 |
| Nash Park | 12 | 69.8% | +2.7 |
| Northpoint | 13 | 69.7% | -5.7 |
| Morgan Heights | 14 | 67.9% | +5.1 |
| Long View | 15 | 67.2% | +3.2 |
| Capitol Heights | 16 | 67.2% | -2.1 |
| Bluemound Heights | 17 | 66.8% | +0.3 |
| Fairview | 18 | 66.0% | +1.6 |
| Lincoln Park | 19 | 65.2% | +2.2 |
| Arlington Gardens | 20 | 65.0% | +0.5 |
| Riverwest | 21 | 64.9% | -3.4 |
| Downer Woods | 22 | 64.9% | +8.0 |
| Lindsay Park | 23 | 64.2% | -0.5 |
| Columbus Park | 24 | 63.9% | -4.0 |
| Lincoln Creek | 25 | 63.6% | -6.3 |
| Rufus King | 26 | 62.9% | -2.8 |
| Lower East Side | 27 | 62.6% | -2.1 |
| Roosevelt Grove | 28 | 62.2% | -4.9 |
| Jackson Park | 29 | 61.8% | +2.3 |
| Dineen Park | 30 | 61.8% | -0.6 |
| Graceland | 31 | 60.7% | +0.1 |
| Saint Joseph | 32 | 60.3% | -2.3 |
| Murray Hill | 33 | 60.3% | -0.6 |
| Kilbourn Town | 34 | 59.8% | +25.1 |
| Menomonee River Hills | 35 | 58.8% | +1.1 |
| Menomonee River Hills East | 36 | 58.7% | -4.5 |
| Uptown | 37 | 58.2% | -1.5 |
| Wahl Park | 38 | 58.0% | -6.3 |
| Fairfield | 39 | 57.5% | -4.6 |
| Thurston Woods | 40 | 57.5% | -2.8 |
| McGovern Park | 41 | 57.1% | -6.7 |
| Hampton Heights | 42 | 57.1% | -5.7 |
| Wilson Park | 43 | 56.9% | -12.8 |
| Sherman Park | 44 | 56.2% | -2.5 |
| Morgandale | 45 | 56.2% | +1.6 |
| Timmerman West | 46 | 54.9% | -1.2 |
| Old North Milwaukee | 47 | 54.8% | -3.1 |
| Mitchell West | 48 | 54.7% | -0.2 |
| Silver Spring | 49 | 54.7% | -0.8 |
| Williamsburg | 50 | 54.1% | -0.5 |
| Arlington Heights | 51 | 53.9% | -4.0 |
| Miller Valley | 52 | 53.8% | -0.4 |
| Midtown | 53 | 52.6% | +3.2 |
| Harambee | 54 | 52.5% | -5.7 |
| Valhalla | 55 | 50.8% | +3.0 |
| Silver Swan | 56 | 50.7% | -6.5 |
| North Division | 57 | 50.6% | -5.7 |
| North Granville | 58 | 49.9% | +3.7 |
| Garden Homes | 59 | 49.4% | -10.4 |
| Franklin Heights | 60 | 49.1% | -6.1 |
| Amani | 61 | 48.1% | -2.1 |
| Washington Park | 62 | 47.6% | -3.6 |
| Borchert Field | 63 | 45.7% | -2.3 |
| Walker's Point | 64 | 43.9% | +1.3 |
| Southpoint | 65 | 43.4% | +0.4 |
| Walnut Hill | 66 | 42.1% | -3.2 |
| Avenues West | 67 | 41.7% | +1.4 |
| Metcalfe Park | 68 | 40.9% | -4.7 |
| Menomonee River Valley | 69 | 38.0% | -3.9 |
| Burnham Park | 70 | 37.9% | +1.4 |
| Polonia | 71 | 37.1% | -1.8 |
| Concordia | 72 | 36.2% | -8.0 |
| Silver City | 73 | 35.1% | +2.3 |
| Forest Home Hills | 74 | 30.3% | -4.5 |
| Muskego Way | 75 | 28.6% | -0.9 |
| Historic Mitchell Street | 76 | 28.5% | -0.5 |
| Clarke Square | 77 | 27.7% | -0.6 |
| Lincoln Village | 78 | 27.6% | -0.3 |
| Alcott Park | One ward, not ranked | 72.2% | +3.8 |
| Alverno | One ward, not ranked | 61.4% | +6.4 |
| Bradley Estates | One ward, not ranked | 76.1% | -1.5 |
| Brewer's Hill | One ward, not ranked | 69.2% | -7.2 |
| Brown Deer Park | One ward, not ranked | 62.3% | -3.4 |
| Cambridge Heights | One ward, not ranked | 50.5% | -1.7 |
| Cannon Park | One ward, not ranked | 48.3% | -6.1 |
| Castle Manor | One ward, not ranked | 68.6% | +17.9 |
| Clayton Crest | One ward, not ranked | 70.9% | -2.1 |
| Cold Spring Park | One ward, not ranked | 58.0% | +3.4 |
| College Heights | One ward, not ranked | 65.8% | +4.4 |
| Copernicus Park | One ward, not ranked | 62.9% | -7.7 |
| Enderis Park | One ward, not ranked | 81.1% | -0.6 |
| Estabrook Park | One ward, not ranked | 59.1% | +17.5 |
| Euclid Park | One ward, not ranked | 67.0% | +4.4 |
| Gra-Ram | One ward, not ranked | 63.1% | +2.5 |
| Harbor View | One ward, not ranked | 61.2% | +27.9 |
| Havenwoods | One ward, not ranked | 61.4% | +15.9 |
| Hawley Farms | One ward, not ranked | 61.5% | +2.7 |
| Highwood Estates | One ward, not ranked | 63.9% | -0.7 |
| Historic Third Ward | One ward, not ranked | 78.3% | +0.8 |
| Honey Creek Manor | One ward, not ranked | 62.3% | -0.8 |
| Juneau Town | One ward, not ranked | 56.0% | +3.3 |
| King Park | One ward, not ranked | 39.9% | -7.6 |
| Lake Park | One ward, not ranked | 69.0% | -1.2 |
| Layton Park | One ward, not ranked | 44.6% | +7.4 |
| Lenox Heights | One ward, not ranked | 60.7% | -2.3 |
| Merrill Park | One ward, not ranked | 46.5% | +3.1 |
| Mount Mary | One ward, not ranked | 94.6% | +16.7 |
| Mount Olivet | Too few adults, not ranked | 15.8% | -150.9 |
| National Park | One ward, not ranked | 37.5% | -2.6 |
| Northridge | One ward, not ranked | 52.0% | -4.6 |
| Northridge Lakes | One ward, not ranked | 51.2% | -11.8 |
| Pheasant Run | One ward, not ranked | 59.1% | +1.4 |
| River Bend | One ward, not ranked | 69.1% | +11.9 |
| Riverside Park | One ward, not ranked | 77.9% | +7.4 |
| Rolling Green | One ward, not ranked | 58.2% | +3.4 |
| Root Creek | One ward, not ranked | 59.3% | -0.1 |
| Saveland Park | One ward, not ranked | 75.2% | +5.5 |
| Southgate | One ward, not ranked | 56.4% | -1.0 |
| Triangle North | One ward, not ranked | 56.3% | -2.7 |
| Upper East Side | One ward, not ranked | 63.8% | +12.5 |
| Vogel Park | One ward, not ranked | 46.1% | -14.4 |
| Wedgewood | One ward, not ranked | 70.3% | -5.1 |
| White Manor | One ward, not ranked | 66.0% | -1.4 |
| Wick Field | One ward, not ranked | 76.9% | +4.6 |
| Woodlands | One ward, not ranked | 48.3% | +1.3 |
| Yankee Hill | One ward, not ranked | 65.3% | +9.5 |
Suburbs
| River Hills | 1 | 94.1% | -0.8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whitefish Bay | 2 | 93.6% | +2.8 |
| Bayside | 3 | 91.4% | +4.2 |
| Fox Point | 4 | 90.5% | +3.4 |
| Wauwatosa | 5 | 83.6% | +4.4 |
| Shorewood | 6 | 83.5% | +3.3 |
| Greendale | 7 | 81.6% | +3.9 |
| Glendale | 8 | 81.2% | +4.0 |
| Franklin | 9 | 78.8% | +7.7 |
| Hales Corners | 10 | 78.3% | +5.7 |
| Oak Creek | 11 | 76.2% | +8.4 |
| Brown Deer | 12 | 74.1% | +1.3 |
| St. Francis | 13 | 73.7% | +9.3 |
| Greenfield | 14 | 69.5% | +5.5 |
| South Milwaukee | 15 | 68.3% | +6.1 |
| Cudahy | 16 | 65.3% | +2.2 |
| West Allis | 17 | 63.3% | +3.4 |
| West Milwaukee | 18 | 51.9% | +2.5 |
How we measured this
We plot each City neighborhood on both measures and compute the Pearson correlation across the 78 that meet the floors. Sources: Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County); Wisconsin Legislative Technology Services Bureau election data by ward.
What would change the answer
This shows a pattern across neighborhoods. It doesn't show that one thing causes the other, and it says nothing about any one person. A correlation near 0 means no straight-line pattern, and one or two unusual neighborhoods can move it.