Does voter turnout by renter share show a pattern in Milwaukee?

Milwaukee neighborhoods that have more renters turned out less: a clear pattern across 90 neighborhoods, correlation -0.51.

The quarter of neighborhoods that have fewer renters average 67.4%, and the quarter that have more renters average 49.4%. Lincoln Village is furthest from the pattern, at 27.6% with 63.2% on the other measure.

Highest
Fernwood
84.2%
Middle City neighborhood
58.0%
Of 90 ranked
Metric
Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024
Year
November 2024; Census ACS 2020 to 2024
Source
Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County)

90 City neighborhoods on both measures

Each dot is a neighborhood. Further right means a higher number for share of occupied homes rented. Higher up means a higher number for votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024. Press a dot to open that neighborhood.

84.2%

Amani: 48.1%, 76.0%Arlington Gardens: 65.0%, 37.3%Arlington Heights: 53.9%, 71.5%Avenues West: 41.7%, 97.4%Bay View: 78.7%, 45.9%Bluemound Heights: 66.8%, 42.1%Borchert Field: 45.7%, 65.4%Burnham Park: 37.9%, 47.1%Capitol Heights: 67.2%, 41.5%Clarke Square: 27.7%, 72.7%Cold Spring Park: 58.0%, 86.0%Columbus Park: 63.9%, 47.3%Concordia: 36.2%, 83.2%Cooper Park: 79.8%, 29.9%Dineen Park: 61.8%, 62.5%Downer Woods: 64.9%, 44.6%Fairfield: 57.5%, 68.2%Fairview: 66.0%, 17.6%Fernwood: 84.2%, 28.1%Forest Home Hills: 30.3%, 64.4%Franklin Heights: 49.1%, 62.4%Garden Homes: 49.4%, 69.8%Golden Valley: 74.3%, 21.5%Graceland: 60.7%, 42.6%Grasslyn Manor: 72.3%, 36.1%Hampton Heights: 57.1%, 44.9%Harambee: 52.5%, 66.8%Harbor View: 61.2%, 70.8%Hillside: 57.9%, 95.3%Historic Mitchell Street: 28.5%, 76.8%Historic Third Ward: 78.3%, 59.0%Honey Creek Manor: 62.3%, 29.2%Jackson Park: 61.8%, 46.7%Juneau Town: 56.0%, 74.3%Kilbourn Town: 59.8%, 90.8%Kops Park: 71.8%, 20.1%Layton Park: 44.6%, 43.8%Lincoln Creek: 63.6%, 58.2%Lincoln Park: 65.2%, 62.6%Lincoln Village: 27.6%, 63.2%Lindsay Park: 64.2%, 46.7%Long View: 67.2%, 49.3%Lower East Side: 62.6%, 79.8%McGovern Park: 57.1%, 58.7%Menomonee River Hills East: 58.7%, 48.2%Menomonee River Hills: 58.8%, 42.7%Menomonee River Valley: 38.0%, 86.5%Merrill Park: 46.5%, 72.6%Metcalfe Park: 40.9%, 71.1%Midtown: 52.6%, 68.1%Miller Valley: 53.8%, 66.9%Mitchell West: 54.7%, 34.4%Morgan Heights: 67.9%, 30.6%Morgandale: 56.2%, 34.1%Murray Hill: 60.3%, 79.7%Muskego Way: 28.6%, 75.2%Nash Park: 69.8%, 25.5%North Division: 50.6%, 66.2%North Granville: 49.9%, 86.8%Northpoint: 69.7%, 80.1%Old North Milwaukee: 54.8%, 68.5%Polonia: 37.1%, 47.3%River Bend: 69.1%, 23.2%Riverwest: 64.9%, 61.6%Roosevelt Grove: 62.2%, 59.7%Rufus King: 62.9%, 62.3%Saint Joseph: 60.3%, 59.5%Sherman Park: 56.2%, 67.5%Silver City: 35.1%, 56.6%Silver Spring: 54.7%, 68.2%Silver Swan: 50.7%, 72.8%Southpoint: 43.4%, 49.2%St. Amelian's: 63.7%, 39.0%Story Hill: 77.1%, 52.5%Sunset Heights: 72.4%, 53.6%Thurston Woods: 57.5%, 54.4%Timmerman West: 54.9%, 68.6%Tippecanoe: 77.3%, 32.2%Town of Lake: 72.2%, 25.8%Upper East Side: 63.8%, 58.1%Uptown: 58.2%, 52.5%Valhalla: 50.8%, 80.7%Wahl Park: 58.0%, 68.0%Walker's Point: 43.9%, 71.6%Walnut Hill: 42.1%, 57.2%Washington Heights: 78.1%, 40.0%Washington Park: 47.6%, 67.6%Williamsburg: 54.1%, 75.7%Wilson Park: 56.9%, 71.2%Yankee Hill: 65.3%, 87.6%Burnham ParkClarke Square

27.6%

17.6%97.4%

Correlation: -0.51 across 90 neighborhoods. Across the bottom: Share of occupied homes rented. Up the side: Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024.

City of Milwaukee neighborhoods

Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024, November 2024; Census ACS 2020 to 2024. To be counted, a neighborhood has to meet the floor on both measures. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their numbers and the reason, and aren't in the correlation.

Fernwood184.2%28.1%
Cooper Park279.8%29.9%
Bay View378.7%45.9%
Historic Third Ward478.3%59.0%
Washington Heights578.1%40.0%
Tippecanoe677.3%32.2%
Story Hill777.1%52.5%
Golden Valley874.3%21.5%
Sunset Heights972.4%53.6%
Grasslyn Manor1072.3%36.1%
Town of Lake1172.2%25.8%
Kops Park1271.8%20.1%
Nash Park1369.8%25.5%
Northpoint1469.7%80.1%
River Bend1569.1%23.2%
Morgan Heights1667.9%30.6%
Long View1767.2%49.3%
Capitol Heights1867.2%41.5%
Bluemound Heights1966.8%42.1%
Fairview2066.0%17.6%
Yankee Hill2165.3%87.6%
Lincoln Park2265.2%62.6%
Arlington Gardens2365.0%37.3%
Riverwest2464.9%61.6%
Downer Woods2564.9%44.6%
Lindsay Park2664.2%46.7%
Columbus Park2763.9%47.3%
Upper East Side2863.8%58.1%
St. Amelian's2963.7%39.0%
Lincoln Creek3063.6%58.2%
Rufus King3162.9%62.3%
Lower East Side3262.6%79.8%
Honey Creek Manor3362.3%29.2%
Roosevelt Grove3462.2%59.7%
Jackson Park3561.8%46.7%
Dineen Park3661.8%62.5%
Harbor View3761.2%70.8%
Graceland3860.7%42.6%
Saint Joseph3960.3%59.5%
Murray Hill4060.3%79.7%
Kilbourn Town4159.8%90.8%
Menomonee River Hills4258.8%42.7%
Menomonee River Hills East4358.7%48.2%
Uptown4458.2%52.5%
Cold Spring Park4558.0%86.0%
Wahl Park4658.0%68.0%
Hillside4757.9%95.3%
Fairfield4857.5%68.2%
Thurston Woods4957.5%54.4%
McGovern Park5057.1%58.7%
Hampton Heights5157.1%44.9%
Wilson Park5256.9%71.2%
Sherman Park5356.2%67.5%
Morgandale5456.2%34.1%
Juneau Town5556.0%74.3%
Timmerman West5654.9%68.6%
Old North Milwaukee5754.8%68.5%
Mitchell West5854.7%34.4%
Silver Spring5954.7%68.2%
Williamsburg6054.1%75.7%
Arlington Heights6153.9%71.5%
Miller Valley6253.8%66.9%
Midtown6352.6%68.1%
Harambee6452.5%66.8%
Valhalla6550.8%80.7%
Silver Swan6650.7%72.8%
North Division6750.6%66.2%
North Granville6849.9%86.8%
Garden Homes6949.4%69.8%
Franklin Heights7049.1%62.4%
Amani7148.1%76.0%
Washington Park7247.6%67.6%
Merrill Park7346.5%72.6%
Borchert Field7445.7%65.4%
Layton Park7544.6%43.8%
Walker's Point7643.9%71.6%
Southpoint7743.4%49.2%
Walnut Hill7842.1%57.2%
Avenues West7941.7%97.4%
Metcalfe Park8040.9%71.1%
Menomonee River Valley8138.0%86.5%
Burnham Park8237.9%47.1%
Polonia8337.1%47.3%
Concordia8436.2%83.2%
Silver City8535.1%56.6%
Forest Home Hills8630.3%64.4%
Muskego Way8728.6%75.2%
Historic Mitchell Street8828.5%76.8%
Clarke Square8927.7%72.7%
Lincoln Village9027.6%63.2%
Alcott ParkOne ward, not ranked72.2%37.3%
AlvernoOne ward, not ranked61.4%62.2%
Bradley EstatesOne ward, not ranked76.1%26.4%
Brewer's HillOne ward, not ranked69.2%63.3%
Brown Deer ParkOne ward, not ranked62.3%57.2%
Cambridge HeightsOne ward, not ranked50.5%72.8%
Cannon ParkOne ward, not ranked48.3%57.4%
Castle ManorOne ward, not ranked68.6%56.8%
Clayton CrestOne ward, not ranked70.9%19.5%
Clock Tower AcresOne ward, not ranked41.6%63.9%
College HeightsOne ward, not ranked65.8%0.0%
Copernicus ParkOne ward, not ranked62.9%15.7%
Enderis ParkOne ward, not ranked81.1%35.9%
Estabrook ParkOne ward, not ranked59.1%91.2%
Euclid ParkOne ward, not ranked67.0%47.5%
Goldman ParkOne ward, not ranked66.2%14.1%
Gra-RamOne ward, not ranked63.1%40.9%
GrantosaOne ward, not ranked61.5%80.3%
Granville StationOne ward, not ranked76.7%35.4%
HavenwoodsOne ward, not ranked61.4%48.4%
Hawley FarmsOne ward, not ranked61.5%27.1%
Highwood EstatesOne ward, not ranked63.9%57.3%
Johnson's WoodsOne ward, not ranked57.8%50.4%
King ParkOne ward, not ranked39.9%85.3%
Lenox HeightsOne ward, not ranked60.7%57.1%
Lyons ParkOne ward, not ranked65.5%25.5%
Maitland ParkOne ward, not ranked65.2%37.0%
Maple TreeOne ward, not ranked60.5%67.2%
Mill ValleyOne ward, not ranked76.5%4.1%
Mount MaryOne ward, not ranked94.6%22.9%
Mount OlivetToo few adults, not ranked15.8%66.3%
National ParkOne ward, not ranked37.5%65.3%
NorthridgeOne ward, not ranked52.0%84.9%
Northridge LakesOne ward, not ranked51.2%79.3%
Park PlaceOne ward, not ranked65.8%58.7%
Pheasant RunOne ward, not ranked59.1%20.6%
Riverside ParkOne ward, not ranked77.9%87.7%
Rolling GreenOne ward, not ranked58.2%49.8%
Root CreekOne ward, not ranked59.3%45.3%
Saveland ParkOne ward, not ranked75.2%21.7%
SouthgateOne ward, not ranked56.4%54.7%
TriangleOne ward, not ranked57.7%49.7%
Triangle NorthOne ward, not ranked56.3%73.5%
Vogel ParkOne ward, not ranked46.1%75.7%
WedgewoodOne ward, not ranked70.3%22.0%
White ManorOne ward, not ranked66.0%34.1%
Wick FieldOne ward, not ranked76.9%49.0%
WoodlandsOne ward, not ranked48.3%81.2%

Suburbs

River Hills194.1%8.5%
Whitefish Bay293.6%16.9%
Bayside391.4%15.5%
Fox Point490.5%22.8%
Wauwatosa583.6%39.2%
Shorewood683.5%54.4%
Greendale781.6%32.8%
Glendale881.2%30.5%
Franklin978.8%22.7%
Hales Corners1078.3%39.3%
Oak Creek1176.2%42.5%
Brown Deer1274.1%34.8%
St. Francis1373.7%45.4%
Greenfield1469.5%45.3%
South Milwaukee1568.3%33.2%
Cudahy1665.3%38.6%
West Allis1763.3%44.5%
West Milwaukee1851.9%66.2%

How we measured this

We plot each City neighborhood on both measures and compute the Pearson correlation across the 90 that meet the floors. Sources: Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County); U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-year estimates, tables B01001, B19001, B25003, C16002 and B08301 by block group.

What would change the answer

This shows a pattern across neighborhoods. It doesn't show that one thing causes the other, and it says nothing about any one person. A correlation near 0 means no straight-line pattern, and one or two unusual neighborhoods can move it.

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