Does voter turnout by median age show a pattern in Milwaukee?

Milwaukee neighborhoods that have older residents turned out more: a clear pattern across 48 neighborhoods, correlation 0.50.

The quarter of neighborhoods that have younger residents average 49.7%, and the quarter that have older residents average 69.8%. Clarke Square is furthest from the pattern, at 27.7% with 30.3 on the other measure.

Highest
Fernwood
84.2%
Middle City neighborhood
60.1%
Of 48 ranked
Metric
Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024
Year
November 2024; Census ACS 2020 to 2024
Source
Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County)

48 City neighborhoods on both measures

Each dot is a neighborhood. Further right means a higher number for median age of residents. Higher up means a higher number for votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024. Press a dot to open that neighborhood.

84.2%

27.6%

20.250.8

Correlation: 0.50 across 48 neighborhoods. Across the bottom: Median age of residents. Up the side: Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024.

City of Milwaukee neighborhoods

Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024, November 2024; Census ACS 2020 to 2024. To be counted, a neighborhood has to meet the floor on both measures. For median age, the Census margin of error on its main block group, the one with the most land in the neighborhood, can be at most a quarter of that median. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their numbers and the reason, and aren't in the correlation.

Fernwood184.2%37.1
Cooper Park279.8%32.7
Bay View378.7%37.9
Washington Heights478.1%36.8
Tippecanoe577.3%39.0
Story Hill677.1%39.0
Golden Valley774.3%36.9
Grasslyn Manor872.3%35.8
Kops Park971.8%35.1
Nash Park1069.8%37.9
Capitol Heights1167.2%35.1
Fairview1266.0%37.2
Yankee Hill1365.3%32.8
Lincoln Park1465.2%39.4
Riverwest1564.9%34.3
Downer Woods1664.9%20.2
St. Amelian's1763.7%50.8
Lincoln Creek1863.6%29.1
Lower East Side1962.6%31.8
Honey Creek Manor2062.3%39.0
Dineen Park2161.8%37.6
Graceland2260.7%36.0
Saint Joseph2360.3%34.5
Murray Hill2460.3%30.9
Kilbourn Town2559.8%28.3
Menomonee River Hills2658.8%29.3
Cold Spring Park2758.0%32.5
Wahl Park2858.0%32.2
Hillside2957.9%27.4
Thurston Woods3057.5%36.8
Wilson Park3156.9%40.0
Sherman Park3256.2%32.1
Morgandale3356.2%34.0
Juneau Town3456.0%33.0
Timmerman West3554.9%29.2
Valhalla3650.8%24.0
Silver Swan3750.7%26.9
Merrill Park3846.5%25.8
Layton Park3944.6%32.2
Walker's Point4043.9%33.3
Southpoint4143.4%31.8
Avenues West4241.7%21.9
Metcalfe Park4340.9%29.2
Menomonee River Valley4438.0%29.7
Polonia4537.1%28.6
Silver City4635.1%32.0
Clarke Square4727.7%30.3
Lincoln Village4827.6%29.1
Alcott ParkOne ward, not ranked72.2%45.7
AlvernoOne ward, not ranked61.4%34.0
AmaniCensus margin too wide to rank48.1%29.9
Arlington GardensCensus margin too wide to rank65.0%33.0
Arlington HeightsCensus margin too wide to rank53.9%32.8
Bluemound HeightsCensus margin too wide to rank66.8%33.9
Borchert FieldCensus margin too wide to rank45.7%31.9
Bradley EstatesOne ward, not ranked76.1%34.0
Brewer's HillOne ward, not ranked69.2%33.9
Brown Deer ParkOne ward, not ranked62.3%35.7
Burnham ParkCensus margin too wide to rank37.9%32.7
Cambridge HeightsOne ward, not ranked50.5%26.1
Cannon ParkOne ward, not ranked48.3%24.3
Castle ManorOne ward, not ranked68.6%38.3
Clayton CrestOne ward, not ranked70.9%40.3
Clock Tower AcresOne ward, not ranked41.6%27.2
College HeightsOne ward, not ranked65.8%52.4
Columbus ParkCensus margin too wide to rank63.9%30.4
ConcordiaCensus margin too wide to rank36.2%35.1
Copernicus ParkOne ward, not ranked62.9%41.6
Enderis ParkOne ward, not ranked81.1%38.7
Estabrook ParkOne ward, not ranked59.1%36.7
Euclid ParkOne ward, not ranked67.0%47.0
FairfieldCensus margin too wide to rank57.5%29.5
Forest Home HillsCensus margin too wide to rank30.3%30.9
Franklin HeightsCensus margin too wide to rank49.1%28.7
Garden HomesCensus margin too wide to rank49.4%33.9
Goldman ParkOne ward, not ranked66.2%39.0
Gra-RamOne ward, not ranked63.1%36.4
GrantosaOne ward, not ranked61.5%47.3
Granville StationOne ward, not ranked76.7%30.4
Hampton HeightsCensus margin too wide to rank57.1%34.0
HarambeeCensus margin too wide to rank52.5%26.7
Harbor ViewCensus margin too wide to rank61.2%36.0
HavenwoodsOne ward, not ranked61.4%28.7
Hawley FarmsOne ward, not ranked61.5%40.0
Highwood EstatesOne ward, not ranked63.9%41.9
Historic Mitchell StreetCensus margin too wide to rank28.5%29.4
Historic Third WardCensus margin too wide to rank78.3%39.2
Jackson ParkCensus margin too wide to rank61.8%33.9
Johnson's WoodsOne ward, not ranked57.8%31.4
King ParkOne ward, not ranked39.9%22.9
Lenox HeightsOne ward, not ranked60.7%38.1
Lindsay ParkCensus margin too wide to rank64.2%32.3
Long ViewCensus margin too wide to rank67.2%34.7
Lyons ParkOne ward, not ranked65.5%36.2
Maitland ParkOne ward, not ranked65.2%40.0
Maple TreeOne ward, not ranked60.5%25.1
McGovern ParkCensus margin too wide to rank57.1%34.4
Menomonee River Hills EastCensus margin too wide to rank58.7%28.9
MidtownCensus margin too wide to rank52.6%28.1
Mill ValleyOne ward, not ranked76.5%46.4
Miller ValleyCensus margin too wide to rank53.8%35.9
Mitchell WestCensus margin too wide to rank54.7%35.6
Morgan HeightsCensus margin too wide to rank67.9%45.2
Mount MaryOne ward, not ranked94.6%40.0
Mount OlivetToo few adults, not ranked15.8%33.3
Muskego WayCensus margin too wide to rank28.6%28.5
National ParkOne ward, not ranked37.5%35.1
North DivisionCensus margin too wide to rank50.6%33.2
North GranvilleCensus margin too wide to rank49.9%20.0
NorthpointCensus margin too wide to rank69.7%37.5
NorthridgeOne ward, not ranked52.0%31.6
Northridge LakesOne ward, not ranked51.2%26.5
Old North MilwaukeeCensus margin too wide to rank54.8%30.8
Park PlaceOne ward, not ranked65.8%33.1
Pheasant RunOne ward, not ranked59.1%30.3
River BendCensus margin too wide to rank69.1%35.6
Riverside ParkOne ward, not ranked77.9%27.4
Rolling GreenOne ward, not ranked58.2%33.5
Roosevelt GroveCensus margin too wide to rank62.2%29.3
Root CreekOne ward, not ranked59.3%34.8
Rufus KingCensus margin too wide to rank62.9%35.4
Saveland ParkOne ward, not ranked75.2%34.5
Silver SpringCensus margin too wide to rank54.7%27.5
SouthgateOne ward, not ranked56.4%35.9
Sunset HeightsCensus margin too wide to rank72.4%38.4
Town of LakeCensus margin too wide to rank72.2%38.5
TriangleOne ward, not ranked57.7%30.3
Triangle NorthOne ward, not ranked56.3%33.0
Upper East SideCensus margin too wide to rank63.8%26.0
UptownCensus margin too wide to rank58.2%30.6
Vogel ParkOne ward, not ranked46.1%43.4
Walnut HillCensus margin too wide to rank42.1%26.6
Washington ParkCensus margin too wide to rank47.6%26.5
WedgewoodOne ward, not ranked70.3%46.8
White ManorOne ward, not ranked66.0%37.1
Wick FieldOne ward, not ranked76.9%36.7
WilliamsburgCensus margin too wide to rank54.1%29.3
WoodlandsOne ward, not ranked48.3%27.4

Suburbs

River Hills194.1%48.3
Whitefish Bay293.6%40.4
Bayside391.4%44.1
Fox Point490.5%43.8
Wauwatosa583.6%38.4
Shorewood683.5%39.1
Greendale781.6%41.1
Franklin878.8%43.3
Hales Corners978.3%39.6
Oak Creek1076.2%39.6
Brown Deer1174.1%41.0
St. Francis1273.7%54.8
Greenfield1369.5%41.6
South Milwaukee1468.3%40.3
Cudahy1565.3%42.7
GlendaleCensus margin too wide to rank81.2%44.9
West AllisCensus margin too wide to rank63.3%39.8
West MilwaukeeCensus margin too wide to rank51.9%35.6

How we measured this

We plot each City neighborhood on both measures and compute the Pearson correlation across the 48 that meet the floors. Sources: Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County); U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-year estimates, tables B01001, B19001, B25003, C16002 and B08301 by block group.

What would change the answer

This shows a pattern across neighborhoods. It doesn't show that one thing causes the other, and it says nothing about any one person. A correlation near 0 means no straight-line pattern, and one or two unusual neighborhoods can move it.

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