{"slug":"turnout-by-median-age","topic":"How one thing tracks another","query":"turnout_by_age","title":"Milwaukee voter turnout by median age","question":"Does voter turnout by median age show a pattern in Milwaukee?","answer":"Milwaukee neighborhoods that have older residents turned out more: a clear pattern across 48 neighborhoods, correlation 0.50.","finding":"The quarter of neighborhoods that have younger residents average 49.7%, and the quarter that have older residents average 69.8%. Clarke Square is furthest from the pattern, at 27.7% with 30.3 on the other measure.","metric":"Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024","period":"November 2024; Census ACS 2020 to 2024","source":{"title":"Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County)","url":"https://services1.arcgis.com/FDsAtKBk8Hy4cAH0/arcgis/rest/services/2024_Election_Data_with_2025_Wards/FeatureServer/0","license":"Open and publicly available data (Legislative Technology Services Bureau); used at the user's own risk","redistributable":true},"method":"We plot each City neighborhood on both measures and compute the Pearson correlation across the 48 that meet the floors. Sources: Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County); U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-year estimates, tables B01001, B19001, B25003, C16002 and B08301 by block group.","caveat":"This shows a pattern across neighborhoods. It doesn't show that one thing causes the other, and it says nothing about any one person. A correlation near 0 means no straight-line pattern, and one or two unusual neighborhoods can move it.","columns":[{"key":"x","label":"Median age of residents"}],"floor":"To be counted, a neighborhood has to meet the floor on both measures. For median age, the Census margin of error on its main block group, the one with the most land in the neighborhood, can be at most a quarter of that median. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their numbers and the reason, and aren't in the correlation.","city":[{"rank":1,"slug":"fernwood","name":"Fernwood","value":0.8418079096045198,"shown":"84.2%","extra":{"x":"37.1"}},{"rank":2,"slug":"cooper-park","name":"Cooper Park","value":0.7983055479639246,"shown":"79.8%","extra":{"x":"32.7"}},{"rank":3,"slug":"bay-view","name":"Bay View","value":0.786987001606543,"shown":"78.7%","extra":{"x":"37.9"}},{"rank":4,"slug":"washington-heights","name":"Washington Heights","value":0.7806995149348992,"shown":"78.1%","extra":{"x":"36.8"}},{"rank":5,"slug":"tippecanoe","name":"Tippecanoe","value":0.7725340136054422,"shown":"77.3%","extra":{"x":"39.0"}},{"rank":6,"slug":"story-hill","name":"Story Hill","value":0.7713815789473685,"shown":"77.1%","extra":{"x":"39.0"}},{"rank":7,"slug":"golden-valley","name":"Golden Valley","value":0.7426739926739927,"shown":"74.3%","extra":{"x":"36.9"}},{"rank":8,"slug":"grasslyn-manor","name":"Grasslyn Manor","value":0.7233866519580805,"shown":"72.3%","extra":{"x":"35.8"}},{"rank":9,"slug":"kops-park","name":"Kops Park","value":0.718369507676019,"shown":"71.8%","extra":{"x":"35.1"}},{"rank":10,"slug":"nash-park","name":"Nash Park","value":0.698257543561411,"shown":"69.8%","extra":{"x":"37.9"}},{"rank":11,"slug":"capitol-heights","name":"Capitol Heights","value":0.6715063520871143,"shown":"67.2%","extra":{"x":"35.1"}},{"rank":12,"slug":"fairview","name":"Fairview","value":0.660039113428944,"shown":"66.0%","extra":{"x":"37.2"}},{"rank":13,"slug":"yankee-hill","name":"Yankee Hill","value":0.652970075926753,"shown":"65.3%","extra":{"x":"32.8"}},{"rank":14,"slug":"lincoln-park","name":"Lincoln Park","value":0.6519480519480519,"shown":"65.2%","extra":{"x":"39.4"}},{"rank":15,"slug":"riverwest","name":"Riverwest","value":0.649196298100341,"shown":"64.9%","extra":{"x":"34.3"}},{"rank":16,"slug":"downer-woods","name":"Downer Woods","value":0.6490883590462833,"shown":"64.9%","extra":{"x":"20.2"}},{"rank":17,"slug":"st-amelians","name":"St. Amelian's","value":0.6367389060887513,"shown":"63.7%","extra":{"x":"50.8"}},{"rank":18,"slug":"lincoln-creek","name":"Lincoln Creek","value":0.6359823399558499,"shown":"63.6%","extra":{"x":"29.1"}},{"rank":19,"slug":"lower-east-side","name":"Lower East Side","value":0.6261994893916718,"shown":"62.6%","extra":{"x":"31.8"}},{"rank":20,"slug":"honey-creek-manor","name":"Honey Creek Manor","value":0.6227709190672154,"shown":"62.3%","extra":{"x":"39.0"}},{"rank":21,"slug":"dineen-park","name":"Dineen Park","value":0.6176401040435091,"shown":"61.8%","extra":{"x":"37.6"}},{"rank":22,"slug":"graceland","name":"Graceland","value":0.6068943706514864,"shown":"60.7%","extra":{"x":"36.0"}},{"rank":23,"slug":"saint-joseph","name":"Saint Joseph","value":0.6032434901781636,"shown":"60.3%","extra":{"x":"34.5"}},{"rank":24,"slug":"murray-hill","name":"Murray Hill","value":0.6030241935483871,"shown":"60.3%","extra":{"x":"30.9"}},{"rank":25,"slug":"kilbourn-town","name":"Kilbourn Town","value":0.5981137018600996,"shown":"59.8%","extra":{"x":"28.3"}},{"rank":26,"slug":"menomonee-river-hills","name":"Menomonee River Hills","value":0.587538304392237,"shown":"58.8%","extra":{"x":"29.3"}},{"rank":27,"slug":"cold-spring-park","name":"Cold Spring Park","value":0.5796737766624843,"shown":"58.0%","extra":{"x":"32.5"}},{"rank":28,"slug":"wahl-park","name":"Wahl Park","value":0.5795677799607073,"shown":"58.0%","extra":{"x":"32.2"}},{"rank":29,"slug":"hillside","name":"Hillside","value":0.578875171467764,"shown":"57.9%","extra":{"x":"27.4"}},{"rank":30,"slug":"thurston-woods","name":"Thurston Woods","value":0.5745286374955532,"shown":"57.5%","extra":{"x":"36.8"}},{"rank":31,"slug":"wilson-park","name":"Wilson Park","value":0.5691699604743083,"shown":"56.9%","extra":{"x":"40.0"}},{"rank":32,"slug":"sherman-park","name":"Sherman Park","value":0.5619573796369376,"shown":"56.2%","extra":{"x":"32.1"}},{"rank":33,"slug":"morgandale","name":"Morgandale","value":0.5616239729337844,"shown":"56.2%","extra":{"x":"34.0"}},{"rank":34,"slug":"juneau-town","name":"Juneau Town","value":0.5595092024539877,"shown":"56.0%","extra":{"x":"33.0"}},{"rank":35,"slug":"timmerman-west","name":"Timmerman West","value":0.5488225157955198,"shown":"54.9%","extra":{"x":"29.2"}},{"rank":36,"slug":"valhalla","name":"Valhalla","value":0.5075493612078978,"shown":"50.8%","extra":{"x":"24.0"}},{"rank":37,"slug":"silver-swan","name":"Silver Swan","value":0.506629168340699,"shown":"50.7%","extra":{"x":"26.9"}},{"rank":38,"slug":"merrill-park","name":"Merrill Park","value":0.4650900900900901,"shown":"46.5%","extra":{"x":"25.8"}},{"rank":39,"slug":"layton-park","name":"Layton Park","value":0.44646182495344505,"shown":"44.6%","extra":{"x":"32.2"}},{"rank":40,"slug":"walkers-point","name":"Walker's 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Village","value":0.276395173453997,"shown":"27.6%","extra":{"x":"29.1"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"alcott-park","name":"Alcott Park","value":0.7221852098600933,"shown":"72.2%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"45.7"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"alverno","name":"Alverno","value":0.6137865911237016,"shown":"61.4%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"34.0"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"amani","name":"Amani","value":0.4807381029459372,"shown":"48.1%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"29.9"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"arlington-gardens","name":"Arlington Gardens","value":0.6501731815932706,"shown":"65.0%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"33.0"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"arlington-heights","name":"Arlington Heights","value":0.5388437217705511,"shown":"53.9%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"32.8"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"bluemound-heights","name":"Bluemound Heights","value":0.6683982683982684,"shown":"66.8%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"33.9"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"borchert-field","name":"Borchert Field","value":0.45706371191135736,"shown":"45.7%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"31.9"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"bradley-estates","name":"Bradley Estates","value":0.7605911330049261,"shown":"76.1%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"34.0"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"brewers-hill","name":"Brewer's Hill","value":0.692008486562942,"shown":"69.2%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"33.9"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"brown-deer-park","name":"Brown Deer Park","value":0.6226971260132645,"shown":"62.3%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"35.7"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"burnham-park","name":"Burnham Park","value":0.3787711262043911,"shown":"37.9%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"32.7"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"cambridge-heights","name":"Cambridge Heights","value":0.5054572826496048,"shown":"50.5%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"26.1"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"cannon-park","name":"Cannon Park","value":0.4831712789827973,"shown":"48.3%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"24.3"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"castle-manor","name":"Castle Manor","value":0.6864666258420086,"shown":"68.6%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"38.3"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"clayton-crest","name":"Clayton Crest","value":0.7086991221069433,"shown":"70.9%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"40.3"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"clock-tower-acres","name":"Clock Tower Acres","value":0.41624365482233505,"shown":"41.6%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"27.2"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"college-heights","name":"College Heights","value":0.6582914572864321,"shown":"65.8%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"52.4"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"columbus-park","name":"Columbus Park","value":0.63915857605178,"shown":"63.9%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"30.4"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"concordia","name":"Concordia","value":0.36217633562766305,"shown":"36.2%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"Census margin too wide to rank","extra":{"x":"35.1"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"copernicus-park","name":"Copernicus Park","value":0.6293958521190262,"shown":"62.9%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"41.6"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"enderis-park","name":"Enderis Park","value":0.8112874779541446,"shown":"81.1%","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"x":"38.7"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"estabrook-park","name":"Estabrook 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