# Does 2024 turnout by its change since 2016 show a pattern in Milwaukee?

Milwaukee neighborhoods that gained more turnout since 2016 turned out more: a weak pattern across 78 neighborhoods, correlation 0.30.

The quarter of neighborhoods that gained less turnout since 2016 average 53.6%, and the quarter that gained more turnout since 2016 average 67.0%. Lincoln Village is furthest from the pattern, at 27.6% with -0.3 on the other measure.

Metric: Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024. Period: November 2024; 2016 and 2024. Source: [Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County)](https://services1.arcgis.com/FDsAtKBk8Hy4cAH0/arcgis/rest/services/2024_Election_Data_with_2025_Wards/FeatureServer/0).

## City of Milwaukee neighborhoods

| Order | Neighborhood | Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024 | Change in turnout, 2016 to 2024, in points |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | [Fernwood](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/fernwood) | 84.2% | +5.0 |
| 2 | [Cooper Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/cooper-park) | 79.8% | +3.3 |
| 3 | [Bay View](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/bay-view) | 78.7% | +3.9 |
| 4 | [Washington Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/washington-heights) | 78.1% | +4.3 |
| 5 | [Tippecanoe](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/tippecanoe) | 77.3% | +6.7 |
| 6 | [Story Hill](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/story-hill) | 77.1% | +4.5 |
| 7 | [Golden Valley](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/golden-valley) | 74.3% | +2.8 |
| 8 | [Sunset Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/sunset-heights) | 72.4% | +6.8 |
| 9 | [Grasslyn Manor](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/grasslyn-manor) | 72.3% | -2.4 |
| 10 | [Town of Lake](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/town-of-lake) | 72.2% | +4.0 |
| 11 | [Kops Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/kops-park) | 71.8% | -0.3 |
| 12 | [Nash Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/nash-park) | 69.8% | +2.7 |
| 13 | [Northpoint](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/northpoint) | 69.7% | -5.7 |
| 14 | [Morgan Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/morgan-heights) | 67.9% | +5.1 |
| 15 | [Long View](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/long-view) | 67.2% | +3.2 |
| 16 | [Capitol Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/capitol-heights) | 67.2% | -2.1 |
| 17 | [Bluemound Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/bluemound-heights) | 66.8% | +0.3 |
| 18 | [Fairview](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/fairview) | 66.0% | +1.6 |
| 19 | [Lincoln Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/lincoln-park) | 65.2% | +2.2 |
| 20 | [Arlington Gardens](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/arlington-gardens) | 65.0% | +0.5 |
| 21 | [Riverwest](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/riverwest) | 64.9% | -3.4 |
| 22 | [Downer Woods](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/downer-woods) | 64.9% | +8.0 |
| 23 | [Lindsay Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/lindsay-park) | 64.2% | -0.5 |
| 24 | [Columbus Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/columbus-park) | 63.9% | -4.0 |
| 25 | [Lincoln Creek](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/lincoln-creek) | 63.6% | -6.3 |
| 26 | [Rufus King](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/rufus-king) | 62.9% | -2.8 |
| 27 | [Lower East Side](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/lower-east-side) | 62.6% | -2.1 |
| 28 | [Roosevelt Grove](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/roosevelt-grove) | 62.2% | -4.9 |
| 29 | [Jackson Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/jackson-park) | 61.8% | +2.3 |
| 30 | [Dineen Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/dineen-park) | 61.8% | -0.6 |
| 31 | [Graceland](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/graceland) | 60.7% | +0.1 |
| 32 | [Saint Joseph](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/saint-joseph) | 60.3% | -2.3 |
| 33 | [Murray Hill](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/murray-hill) | 60.3% | -0.6 |
| 34 | [Kilbourn Town](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/kilbourn-town) | 59.8% | +25.1 |
| 35 | [Menomonee River Hills](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/menomonee-river-hills) | 58.8% | +1.1 |
| 36 | [Menomonee River Hills East](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/menomonee-river-hills-east) | 58.7% | -4.5 |
| 37 | [Uptown](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/uptown) | 58.2% | -1.5 |
| 38 | [Wahl Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/wahl-park) | 58.0% | -6.3 |
| 39 | [Fairfield](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/fairfield) | 57.5% | -4.6 |
| 40 | [Thurston Woods](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/thurston-woods) | 57.5% | -2.8 |
| 41 | [McGovern Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/mcgovern-park) | 57.1% | -6.7 |
| 42 | [Hampton Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/hampton-heights) | 57.1% | -5.7 |
| 43 | [Wilson Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/wilson-park) | 56.9% | -12.8 |
| 44 | [Sherman Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/sherman-park) | 56.2% | -2.5 |
| 45 | [Morgandale](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/morgandale) | 56.2% | +1.6 |
| 46 | [Timmerman West](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/timmerman-west) | 54.9% | -1.2 |
| 47 | [Old North Milwaukee](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/old-north-milwaukee) | 54.8% | -3.1 |
| 48 | [Mitchell West](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/mitchell-west) | 54.7% | -0.2 |
| 49 | [Silver Spring](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/silver-spring) | 54.7% | -0.8 |
| 50 | [Williamsburg](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/williamsburg) | 54.1% | -0.5 |
| 51 | [Arlington Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/arlington-heights) | 53.9% | -4.0 |
| 52 | [Miller Valley](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/miller-valley) | 53.8% | -0.4 |
| 53 | [Midtown](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/midtown) | 52.6% | +3.2 |
| 54 | [Harambee](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/harambee) | 52.5% | -5.7 |
| 55 | [Valhalla](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/valhalla) | 50.8% | +3.0 |
| 56 | [Silver Swan](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/silver-swan) | 50.7% | -6.5 |
| 57 | [North Division](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/north-division) | 50.6% | -5.7 |
| 58 | [North Granville](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/north-granville) | 49.9% | +3.7 |
| 59 | [Garden Homes](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/garden-homes) | 49.4% | -10.4 |
| 60 | [Franklin Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/franklin-heights) | 49.1% | -6.1 |
| 61 | [Amani](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/amani) | 48.1% | -2.1 |
| 62 | [Washington Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/washington-park) | 47.6% | -3.6 |
| 63 | [Borchert Field](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/borchert-field) | 45.7% | -2.3 |
| 64 | [Walker's Point](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/walkers-point) | 43.9% | +1.3 |
| 65 | [Southpoint](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/southpoint) | 43.4% | +0.4 |
| 66 | [Walnut Hill](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/walnut-hill) | 42.1% | -3.2 |
| 67 | [Avenues West](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/avenues-west) | 41.7% | +1.4 |
| 68 | [Metcalfe Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/metcalfe-park) | 40.9% | -4.7 |
| 69 | [Menomonee River Valley](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/menomonee-river-valley) | 38.0% | -3.9 |
| 70 | [Burnham Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/burnham-park) | 37.9% | +1.4 |
| 71 | [Polonia](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/polonia) | 37.1% | -1.8 |
| 72 | [Concordia](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/concordia) | 36.2% | -8.0 |
| 73 | [Silver City](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/silver-city) | 35.1% | +2.3 |
| 74 | [Forest Home Hills](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/forest-home-hills) | 30.3% | -4.5 |
| 75 | [Muskego Way](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/muskego-way) | 28.6% | -0.9 |
| 76 | [Historic Mitchell Street](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/historic-mitchell-street) | 28.5% | -0.5 |
| 77 | [Clarke Square](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/clarke-square) | 27.7% | -0.6 |
| 78 | [Lincoln Village](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/lincoln-village) | 27.6% | -0.3 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Alcott Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/alcott-park) | 72.2% | +3.8 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Alverno](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/alverno) | 61.4% | +6.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Bradley Estates](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/bradley-estates) | 76.1% | -1.5 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Brewer's Hill](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/brewers-hill) | 69.2% | -7.2 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Brown Deer Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/brown-deer-park) | 62.3% | -3.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Cambridge Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/cambridge-heights) | 50.5% | -1.7 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Cannon Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/cannon-park) | 48.3% | -6.1 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Castle Manor](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/castle-manor) | 68.6% | +17.9 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Clayton Crest](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/clayton-crest) | 70.9% | -2.1 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Cold Spring Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/cold-spring-park) | 58.0% | +3.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [College Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/college-heights) | 65.8% | +4.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Copernicus Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/copernicus-park) | 62.9% | -7.7 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Enderis Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/enderis-park) | 81.1% | -0.6 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Estabrook Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/estabrook-park) | 59.1% | +17.5 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Euclid Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/euclid-park) | 67.0% | +4.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Gra-Ram](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/gra-ram) | 63.1% | +2.5 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Harbor View](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/harbor-view) | 61.2% | +27.9 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Havenwoods](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/havenwoods) | 61.4% | +15.9 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Hawley Farms](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/hawley-farms) | 61.5% | +2.7 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Highwood Estates](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/highwood-estates) | 63.9% | -0.7 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Historic Third Ward](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/historic-third-ward) | 78.3% | +0.8 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Honey Creek Manor](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/honey-creek-manor) | 62.3% | -0.8 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Juneau Town](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/juneau-town) | 56.0% | +3.3 |
| One ward, not ranked | [King Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/king-park) | 39.9% | -7.6 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Lake Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/lake-park) | 69.0% | -1.2 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Layton Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/layton-park) | 44.6% | +7.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Lenox Heights](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/lenox-heights) | 60.7% | -2.3 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Merrill Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/merrill-park) | 46.5% | +3.1 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Mount Mary](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/mount-mary) | 94.6% | +16.7 |
| Too few adults, not ranked | [Mount Olivet](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/mount-olivet) | 15.8% | -150.9 |
| One ward, not ranked | [National Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/national-park) | 37.5% | -2.6 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Northridge](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/northridge) | 52.0% | -4.6 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Northridge Lakes](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/northridge-lakes) | 51.2% | -11.8 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Pheasant Run](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/pheasant-run) | 59.1% | +1.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [River Bend](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/river-bend) | 69.1% | +11.9 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Riverside Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/riverside-park) | 77.9% | +7.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Rolling Green](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/rolling-green) | 58.2% | +3.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Root Creek](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/root-creek) | 59.3% | -0.1 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Saveland Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/saveland-park) | 75.2% | +5.5 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Southgate](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/southgate) | 56.4% | -1.0 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Triangle North](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/triangle-north) | 56.3% | -2.7 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Upper East Side](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/upper-east-side) | 63.8% | +12.5 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Vogel Park](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/vogel-park) | 46.1% | -14.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Wedgewood](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/wedgewood) | 70.3% | -5.1 |
| One ward, not ranked | [White Manor](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/white-manor) | 66.0% | -1.4 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Wick Field](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/wick-field) | 76.9% | +4.6 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Woodlands](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/woodlands) | 48.3% | +1.3 |
| One ward, not ranked | [Yankee Hill](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/yankee-hill) | 65.3% | +9.5 |

To be counted, a neighborhood has to meet the floor on both measures. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their numbers and the reason, and aren't in the correlation.

## Suburbs

| Order | Neighborhood | Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024 | Change in turnout, 2016 to 2024, in points |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | [River Hills](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/river-hills) | 94.1% | -0.8 |
| 2 | [Whitefish Bay](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/whitefish-bay) | 93.6% | +2.8 |
| 3 | [Bayside](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/bayside) | 91.4% | +4.2 |
| 4 | [Fox Point](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/fox-point) | 90.5% | +3.4 |
| 5 | [Wauwatosa](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/wauwatosa) | 83.6% | +4.4 |
| 6 | [Shorewood](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/shorewood) | 83.5% | +3.3 |
| 7 | [Greendale](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/greendale) | 81.6% | +3.9 |
| 8 | [Glendale](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/glendale) | 81.2% | +4.0 |
| 9 | [Franklin](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/franklin) | 78.8% | +7.7 |
| 10 | [Hales Corners](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/hales-corners) | 78.3% | +5.7 |
| 11 | [Oak Creek](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/oak-creek) | 76.2% | +8.4 |
| 12 | [Brown Deer](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/brown-deer) | 74.1% | +1.3 |
| 13 | [St. Francis](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/st-francis) | 73.7% | +9.3 |
| 14 | [Greenfield](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/greenfield) | 69.5% | +5.5 |
| 15 | [South Milwaukee](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/south-milwaukee) | 68.3% | +6.1 |
| 16 | [Cudahy](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/cudahy) | 65.3% | +2.2 |
| 17 | [West Allis](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/west-allis) | 63.3% | +3.4 |
| 18 | [West Milwaukee](https://littlemilwaukee.com/neighborhoods/west-milwaukee) | 51.9% | +2.5 |

## How it was measured

We plot each City neighborhood on both measures and compute the Pearson correlation across the 78 that meet the floors. Sources: Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County); Wisconsin Legislative Technology Services Bureau election data by ward.

## What would change the answer

This shows a pattern across neighborhoods. It doesn't show that one thing causes the other, and it says nothing about any one person. A correlation near 0 means no straight-line pattern, and one or two unusual neighborhoods can move it.