Does bars per resident by voter turnout show a pattern in Milwaukee?

These two aren't related across 90 City of Milwaukee neighborhoods: the correlation is 0.12, too small to call a pattern.

The quarter of neighborhoods that turned out less average 0.7, and the quarter that turned out more average 1.2. The Historic Third Ward is furthest from the pattern, at 16.5 with 78.3% on the other measure.

Highest
Historic Third Ward
16.5
Middle City neighborhood
0.2
Of 90 ranked
Metric
Bars per 1,000 residents
Year
Records on file today; November 2024
Source
Little Milwaukee business records, from public licenses, filings and OpenStreetMap

90 City neighborhoods on both measures

Each dot is a neighborhood. Further right means a higher number for votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024. Higher up means a higher number for bars per 1,000 residents. Press a dot to open that neighborhood.

16.5

Amani: 0.2, 48.1%Arlington Gardens: 0.0, 65.0%Arlington Heights: 0.5, 53.9%Avenues West: 0.5, 41.7%Bay View: 2.3, 78.7%Bluemound Heights: 1.9, 66.8%Borchert Field: 0.0, 45.7%Burnham Park: 0.6, 37.9%Capitol Heights: 0.3, 67.2%Clarke Square: 0.0, 27.7%Cold Spring Park: 0.0, 58.0%Columbus Park: 0.0, 63.9%Concordia: 0.0, 36.2%Cooper Park: 0.0, 79.8%Dineen Park: 0.0, 61.8%Downer Woods: 0.0, 64.9%Fairfield: 0.3, 57.5%Fairview: 0.3, 66.0%Fernwood: 0.3, 84.2%Forest Home Hills: 1.4, 30.3%Franklin Heights: 0.2, 49.1%Garden Homes: 0.0, 49.4%Golden Valley: 0.0, 74.3%Graceland: 0.0, 60.7%Grasslyn Manor: 0.0, 72.3%Hampton Heights: 0.0, 57.1%Harambee: 0.3, 52.5%Harbor View: 4.6, 61.2%Hillside: 0.0, 57.9%Historic Mitchell Street: 1.5, 28.5%Historic Third Ward: 16.5, 78.3%Honey Creek Manor: 0.0, 62.3%Jackson Park: 0.1, 61.8%Juneau Town: 7.8, 56.0%Kilbourn Town: 9.1, 59.8%Kops Park: 0.0, 71.8%Layton Park: 0.1, 44.6%Lincoln Creek: 0.3, 63.6%Lincoln Park: 0.0, 65.2%Lincoln Village: 0.3, 27.6%Lindsay Park: 0.0, 64.2%Long View: 0.4, 67.2%Lower East Side: 3.3, 62.6%McGovern Park: 0.0, 57.1%Menomonee River Hills East: 0.0, 58.7%Menomonee River Hills: 0.0, 58.8%Menomonee River Valley: 2.9, 38.0%Merrill Park: 0.4, 46.5%Metcalfe Park: 0.0, 40.9%Midtown: 0.5, 52.6%Miller Valley: 0.0, 53.8%Mitchell West: 0.0, 54.7%Morgan Heights: 0.0, 67.9%Morgandale: 0.1, 56.2%Murray Hill: 1.8, 60.3%Muskego Way: 0.6, 28.6%Nash Park: 0.0, 69.8%North Division: 0.7, 50.6%North Granville: 0.0, 49.9%Northpoint: 0.0, 69.7%Old North Milwaukee: 0.3, 54.8%Polonia: 0.6, 37.1%River Bend: 0.0, 69.1%Riverwest: 2.2, 64.9%Roosevelt Grove: 0.4, 62.2%Rufus King: 0.2, 62.9%Saint Joseph: 0.0, 60.3%Sherman Park: 0.2, 56.2%Silver City: 0.5, 35.1%Silver Spring: 0.0, 54.7%Silver Swan: 0.0, 50.7%Southpoint: 0.0, 43.4%St. Amelian's: 0.0, 63.7%Story Hill: 1.8, 77.1%Sunset Heights: 0.0, 72.4%Thurston Woods: 0.0, 57.5%Timmerman West: 0.2, 54.9%Tippecanoe: 0.5, 77.3%Town of Lake: 0.6, 72.2%Upper East Side: 0.3, 63.8%Uptown: 0.2, 58.2%Valhalla: 0.3, 50.8%Wahl Park: 0.0, 58.0%Walker's Point: 4.5, 43.9%Walnut Hill: 0.0, 42.1%Washington Heights: 0.4, 78.1%Washington Park: 0.5, 47.6%Williamsburg: 0.6, 54.1%Wilson Park: 0.2, 56.9%Yankee Hill: 0.8, 65.3%Harbor ViewHistoric Third WardJuneau Town

0.0

27.6%84.2%

Correlation: 0.12 across 90 neighborhoods. Across the bottom: Votes for president per resident 18 and over, 2024. Up the side: Bars per 1,000 residents.

City of Milwaukee neighborhoods

Bars per 1,000 residents, records on file today; November 2024. To be counted, a neighborhood has to meet the floor on both measures. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their numbers and the reason, and aren't in the correlation.

Historic Third Ward116.578.3%
Kilbourn Town29.159.8%
Juneau Town37.856.0%
Harbor View44.661.2%
Walker's Point54.543.9%
Lower East Side63.362.6%
Menomonee River Valley72.938.0%
Bay View82.378.7%
Riverwest92.264.9%
Bluemound Heights101.966.8%
Murray Hill111.860.3%
Story Hill121.877.1%
Historic Mitchell Street131.528.5%
Forest Home Hills141.430.3%
Yankee Hill150.865.3%
North Division160.750.6%
Polonia170.637.1%
Muskego Way180.628.6%
Burnham Park190.637.9%
Williamsburg200.654.1%
Town of Lake210.672.2%
Washington Park220.547.6%
Midtown230.552.6%
Tippecanoe240.577.3%
Avenues West250.541.7%
Arlington Heights260.553.9%
Silver City270.535.1%
Washington Heights280.478.1%
Roosevelt Grove290.462.2%
Merrill Park300.446.5%
Long View310.467.2%
Harambee320.352.5%
Lincoln Village330.327.6%
Fernwood340.384.2%
Capitol Heights350.367.2%
Upper East Side360.363.8%
Fairfield370.357.5%
Valhalla380.350.8%
Old North Milwaukee390.354.8%
Fairview400.366.0%
Lincoln Creek410.363.6%
Wilson Park420.256.9%
Amani430.248.1%
Timmerman West440.254.9%
Rufus King450.262.9%
Uptown460.258.2%
Sherman Park470.256.2%
Franklin Heights480.249.1%
Jackson Park490.161.8%
Layton Park500.144.6%
Morgandale510.156.2%
Arlington Gardens520.065.0%
Borchert Field520.045.7%
Clarke Square520.027.7%
Cold Spring Park520.058.0%
Columbus Park520.063.9%
Concordia520.036.2%
Cooper Park520.079.8%
Dineen Park520.061.8%
Downer Woods520.064.9%
Garden Homes520.049.4%
Golden Valley520.074.3%
Graceland520.060.7%
Grasslyn Manor520.072.3%
Hampton Heights520.057.1%
Hillside520.057.9%
Honey Creek Manor520.062.3%
Kops Park520.071.8%
Lincoln Park520.065.2%
Lindsay Park520.064.2%
McGovern Park520.057.1%
Menomonee River Hills520.058.8%
Menomonee River Hills East520.058.7%
Metcalfe Park520.040.9%
Miller Valley520.053.8%
Mitchell West520.054.7%
Morgan Heights520.067.9%
Nash Park520.069.8%
North Granville520.049.9%
Northpoint520.069.7%
River Bend520.069.1%
Saint Joseph520.060.3%
Silver Spring520.054.7%
Silver Swan520.050.7%
Southpoint520.043.4%
St. Amelian's520.063.7%
Sunset Heights520.072.4%
Thurston Woods520.057.5%
Wahl Park520.058.0%
Walnut Hill520.042.1%
Alcott ParkOne ward, not ranked0.072.2%
AlvernoOne ward, not ranked0.061.4%
Bradley EstatesOne ward, not ranked0.076.1%
Brewer's HillOne ward, not ranked0.969.2%
Brown Deer ParkOne ward, not ranked0.062.3%
Cambridge HeightsOne ward, not ranked0.050.5%
Cannon ParkOne ward, not ranked0.048.3%
Castle ManorOne ward, not ranked0.068.6%
Clayton CrestOne ward, not ranked0.070.9%
Clock Tower AcresOne ward, not ranked10.741.6%
College HeightsOne ward, not ranked0.065.8%
Copernicus ParkOne ward, not ranked0.062.9%
Enderis ParkOne ward, not ranked0.381.1%
Estabrook ParkToo few residents, not ranked2.159.1%
Euclid ParkOne ward, not ranked0.567.0%
Goldman ParkOne ward, not ranked0.066.2%
Gra-RamOne ward, not ranked0.063.1%
GrantosaOne ward, not ranked0.061.5%
Granville StationOne ward, not ranked0.076.7%
HavenwoodsOne ward, not ranked0.861.4%
Hawley FarmsOne ward, not ranked0.061.5%
Highwood EstatesOne ward, not ranked0.063.9%
Johnson's WoodsOne ward, not ranked0.457.8%
King ParkOne ward, not ranked0.039.9%
Lake ParkToo few residents, not ranked2500.069.0%
Lenox HeightsOne ward, not ranked0.060.7%
Lyons ParkOne ward, not ranked0.065.5%
Maitland ParkOne ward, not ranked0.065.2%
Maple TreeOne ward, not ranked0.060.5%
Mill ValleyOne ward, not ranked0.076.5%
Mount MaryOne ward, not ranked0.094.6%
Mount OlivetToo few adults, not ranked0.015.8%
National ParkOne ward, not ranked0.037.5%
NorthridgeOne ward, not ranked0.052.0%
Northridge LakesOne ward, not ranked0.051.2%
Park PlaceOne ward, not ranked0.065.8%
Pheasant RunOne ward, not ranked0.059.1%
Riverside ParkOne ward, not ranked2.077.9%
Rolling GreenOne ward, not ranked0.058.2%
Root CreekOne ward, not ranked0.059.3%
Saveland ParkOne ward, not ranked0.075.2%
SouthgateOne ward, not ranked0.456.4%
TriangleOne ward, not ranked0.057.7%
Triangle NorthOne ward, not ranked1.656.3%
Vogel ParkOne ward, not ranked0.046.1%
WedgewoodOne ward, not ranked0.070.3%
White ManorOne ward, not ranked0.666.0%
Wick FieldOne ward, not ranked1.376.9%
WoodlandsOne ward, not ranked0.048.3%

Suburbs

West Milwaukee11.051.9%
St. Francis20.473.7%
Wauwatosa30.483.6%
West Allis40.463.3%
Shorewood50.383.5%
Cudahy60.265.3%
Greendale70.281.6%
South Milwaukee80.268.3%
Franklin90.178.8%
Greenfield100.169.5%
Hales Corners110.178.3%
Oak Creek120.176.2%
Bayside130.091.4%
Brown Deer130.074.1%
Fox Point130.090.5%
Glendale130.081.2%
River Hills130.094.1%
Whitefish Bay130.093.6%

How we measured this

We plot each City neighborhood on both measures and compute the Pearson correlation across the 90 that meet the floors. Sources: Little Milwaukee business records, from public licenses, filings and OpenStreetMap; Wisconsin LTSB 2024 Election Data with 2025 Wards (Milwaukee County).

What would change the answer

This shows a pattern across neighborhoods. It doesn't show that one thing causes the other, and it says nothing about any one person. A correlation near 0 means no straight-line pattern, and one or two unusual neighborhoods can move it.

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