{"slug":"midterm-dropoff-by-renter-share","topic":"How one thing tracks another","query":"dropoff_by_renter","title":"Milwaukee midterm drop-off by renter share","question":"Does midterm drop-off by renter share show a pattern in Milwaukee?","answer":"These two aren't related across 88 City of Milwaukee neighborhoods: the correlation is 0.18, too small to call a pattern.","finding":"The quarter of neighborhoods that have fewer renters average 16.0, and the quarter that have more renters average 17.0. Wahl Park is furthest from the pattern, at 28.2 with 68.0% on the other measure.","metric":"Midterm drop-off, president 2024 minus governor 2022, in points","period":"2022 and 2024; Census ACS 2020 to 2024","source":{"title":"Wisconsin Legislative Technology Services Bureau election data by ward","url":"https://services1.arcgis.com/FDsAtKBk8Hy4cAH0/arcgis/rest/services/2024_Election_Data_with_2025_Wards/FeatureServer/0","license":"Public record of the State of Wisconsin","redistributable":true},"method":"We plot each City neighborhood on both measures and compute the Pearson correlation across the 88 that meet the floors. Sources: Wisconsin Legislative Technology Services Bureau election data by ward; U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-year estimates, tables B01001, B19001, B25003, C16002 and B08301 by block group.","caveat":"This shows a pattern across neighborhoods. It doesn't show that one thing causes the other, and it says nothing about any one person. A correlation near 0 means no straight-line pattern, and one or two unusual neighborhoods can move it.","columns":[{"key":"x","label":"Share of occupied homes rented"}],"floor":"To be counted, a neighborhood has to meet the floor on both measures. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their numbers and the reason, and aren't in the correlation.","city":[{"rank":1,"slug":"kilbourn-town","name":"Kilbourn Town","value":28.606756772938624,"shown":"28.6","extra":{"x":"90.8%"}},{"rank":2,"slug":"wahl-park","name":"Wahl Park","value":28.212180746561888,"shown":"28.2","extra":{"x":"68.0%"}},{"rank":3,"slug":"cold-spring-park","name":"Cold Spring Park","value":24.215809284818068,"shown":"24.2","extra":{"x":"86.0%"}},{"rank":4,"slug":"fairfield","name":"Fairfield","value":24.128996052932717,"shown":"24.1","extra":{"x":"68.2%"}},{"rank":5,"slug":"sunset-heights","name":"Sunset Heights","value":22.915737851092295,"shown":"22.9","extra":{"x":"53.6%"}},{"rank":6,"slug":"silver-spring","name":"Silver Spring","value":22.87671232876713,"shown":"22.9","extra":{"x":"68.2%"}},{"rank":7,"slug":"long-view","name":"Long 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