{"slug":"biggest-midterm-dropoff","topic":"Voting","query":"president_2024_minus_governor_2022","title":"Biggest midterm drop-off by Milwaukee neighborhood","question":"Which Milwaukee neighborhood skips the midterm the most?","answer":"Kilbourn Town has the biggest midterm drop-off in the City of Milwaukee: 28.6 points fewer votes per adult for governor in 2022 than for president in 2024.","finding":"Fernwood has the smallest drop, at 10.0 points. The middle neighborhood falls 16.9 points.","metric":"Votes per adult for president in 2024 minus governor in 2022, in points","period":"2022 and 2024 general elections","source":{"title":"Wisconsin Legislative Technology Services Bureau election data by ward","url":"https://services1.arcgis.com/FDsAtKBk8Hy4cAH0/arcgis/rest/services/2024_Election_Data_with_2025_Wards/FeatureServer/0","license":"Public record of the State of Wisconsin","redistributable":true},"method":"We subtract each neighborhood's votes for governor per adult in 2022 from its votes for president per adult in 2024. Both elections put a ward in the neighborhood its center point is in.","caveat":"These are two different elections on two ward maps, so a small gap can come from the map. Neighborhoods with many students or new residents can move a lot between the two.","columns":[{"key":"y2022","label":"Governor 2022"},{"key":"y2024","label":"President 2024"}],"floor":"To be ranked, a neighborhood needs at least 500 adults and at least 2 wards in both elections. Neighborhoods under that are in the table with their number and the reason.","city":[{"rank":1,"slug":"kilbourn-town","name":"Kilbourn Town","value":28.606756772938624,"shown":"28.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"31.2%","y2024":"59.8%"}},{"rank":2,"slug":"wahl-park","name":"Wahl Park","value":28.212180746561888,"shown":"28.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"29.7%","y2024":"58.0%"}},{"rank":3,"slug":"cold-spring-park","name":"Cold Spring Park","value":24.215809284818068,"shown":"24.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"33.8%","y2024":"58.0%"}},{"rank":4,"slug":"fairfield","name":"Fairfield","value":24.128996052932717,"shown":"24.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"33.4%","y2024":"57.5%"}},{"rank":5,"slug":"sunset-heights","name":"Sunset Heights","value":22.915737851092295,"shown":"22.9 points","extra":{"y2022":"49.5%","y2024":"72.4%"}},{"rank":6,"slug":"silver-spring","name":"Silver Spring","value":22.87671232876713,"shown":"22.9 points","extra":{"y2022":"31.8%","y2024":"54.7%"}},{"rank":7,"slug":"long-view","name":"Long View","value":22.704714640198514,"shown":"22.7 points","extra":{"y2022":"44.5%","y2024":"67.2%"}},{"rank":8,"slug":"valhalla","name":"Valhalla","value":21.989934185056143,"shown":"22.0 points","extra":{"y2022":"28.8%","y2024":"50.8%"}},{"rank":9,"slug":"silver-swan","name":"Silver Swan","value":21.253515468059458,"shown":"21.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"29.4%","y2024":"50.7%"}},{"rank":10,"slug":"washington-park","name":"Washington Park","value":20.93023255813954,"shown":"20.9 points","extra":{"y2022":"26.7%","y2024":"47.6%"}},{"rank":11,"slug":"avenues-west","name":"Avenues West","value":20.803994366918445,"shown":"20.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"20.9%","y2024":"41.7%"}},{"rank":12,"slug":"lindsay-park","name":"Lindsay Park","value":20.75806929227124,"shown":"20.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"43.4%","y2024":"64.2%"}},{"rank":13,"slug":"arlington-gardens","name":"Arlington Gardens","value":20.138545274616526,"shown":"20.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"44.9%","y2024":"65.0%"}},{"rank":14,"slug":"mcgovern-park","name":"McGovern Park","value":20.111365869636423,"shown":"20.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"37.0%","y2024":"57.1%"}},{"rank":15,"slug":"thurston-woods","name":"Thurston Woods","value":19.815012451085025,"shown":"19.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"37.6%","y2024":"57.5%"}},{"rank":16,"slug":"old-north-milwaukee","name":"Old North Milwaukee","value":19.784357350676025,"shown":"19.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"35.2%","y2024":"55.0%"}},{"rank":17,"slug":"hampton-heights","name":"Hampton Heights","value":19.51510333863275,"shown":"19.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"37.6%","y2024":"57.1%"}},{"rank":18,"slug":"midtown","name":"Midtown","value":19.487359550561795,"shown":"19.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"33.1%","y2024":"52.6%"}},{"rank":19,"slug":"capitol-heights","name":"Capitol Heights","value":19.345820519988816,"shown":"19.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"48.8%","y2024":"68.2%"}},{"rank":20,"slug":"saint-joseph","name":"Saint Joseph","value":19.30105070808589,"shown":"19.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"41.0%","y2024":"60.3%"}},{"rank":21,"slug":"menomonee-river-hills-east","name":"Menomonee River Hills East","value":18.976744186046513,"shown":"19.0 points","extra":{"y2022":"39.7%","y2024":"58.7%"}},{"rank":22,"slug":"grasslyn-manor","name":"Grasslyn Manor","value":18.69829012686155,"shown":"18.7 points","extra":{"y2022":"53.6%","y2024":"72.3%"}},{"rank":23,"slug":"historic-third-ward","name":"Historic Third Ward","value":18.585298196948685,"shown":"18.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"59.7%","y2024":"78.3%"}},{"rank":24,"slug":"sherman-park","name":"Sherman Park","value":18.57693013020356,"shown":"18.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"40.0%","y2024":"58.6%"}},{"rank":25,"slug":"north-granville","name":"North Granville","value":18.487394957983195,"shown":"18.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"31.4%","y2024":"49.9%"}},{"rank":26,"slug":"roosevelt-grove","name":"Roosevelt Grove","value":18.40828210934972,"shown":"18.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"42.7%","y2024":"61.1%"}},{"rank":27,"slug":"yankee-hill","name":"Yankee Hill","value":18.401071907101386,"shown":"18.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"46.9%","y2024":"65.3%"}},{"rank":28,"slug":"uptown","name":"Uptown","value":18.38848193988381,"shown":"18.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"39.8%","y2024":"58.2%"}},{"rank":29,"slug":"timmerman-west","name":"Timmerman West","value":18.38024124066628,"shown":"18.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"36.5%","y2024":"54.9%"}},{"rank":30,"slug":"menomonee-river-hills","name":"Menomonee River Hills","value":18.32482124616956,"shown":"18.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"40.4%","y2024":"58.8%"}},{"rank":31,"slug":"lincoln-park","name":"Lincoln Park","value":18.229043683589136,"shown":"18.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"47.0%","y2024":"65.2%"}},{"rank":32,"slug":"layton-park","name":"Layton Park","value":18.202979515828677,"shown":"18.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"26.4%","y2024":"44.6%"}},{"rank":33,"slug":"amani","name":"Amani","value":18.128844286176758,"shown":"18.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"29.9%","y2024":"48.1%"}},{"rank":34,"slug":"morgandale","name":"Morgandale","value":17.947478653133558,"shown":"17.9 points","extra":{"y2022":"38.2%","y2024":"56.2%"}},{"rank":35,"slug":"honey-creek-manor","name":"Honey Creek Manor","value":17.78692272519433,"shown":"17.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"44.5%","y2024":"62.3%"}},{"rank":36,"slug":"river-bend","name":"River Bend","value":17.670682730923705,"shown":"17.7 points","extra":{"y2022":"51.4%","y2024":"69.1%"}},{"rank":37,"slug":"golden-valley","name":"Golden Valley","value":17.582417582417587,"shown":"17.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"56.7%","y2024":"74.3%"}},{"rank":38,"slug":"fairview","name":"Fairview","value":17.503259452411996,"shown":"17.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"48.5%","y2024":"66.0%"}},{"rank":39,"slug":"williamsburg","name":"Williamsburg","value":17.497168742921854,"shown":"17.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"36.6%","y2024":"54.1%"}},{"rank":40,"slug":"north-division","name":"North Division","value":17.40824943163365,"shown":"17.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"32.8%","y2024":"50.2%"}},{"rank":41,"slug":"morgan-heights","name":"Morgan Heights","value":17.292377701934015,"shown":"17.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"50.6%","y2024":"67.9%"}},{"rank":42,"slug":"juneau-town","name":"Juneau Town","value":17.26993865030675,"shown":"17.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"38.7%","y2024":"56.0%"}},{"rank":43,"slug":"columbus-park","name":"Columbus Park","value":17.09013105108318,"shown":"17.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"46.4%","y2024":"63.5%"}},{"rank":44,"slug":"nash-park","name":"Nash Park","value":17.042073948151305,"shown":"17.0 points","extra":{"y2022":"52.8%","y2024":"69.8%"}},{"rank":45,"slug":"dineen-park","name":"Dineen Park","value":16.8834239772996,"shown":"16.9 points","extra":{"y2022":"44.9%","y2024":"61.8%"}},{"rank":46,"slug":"downer-woods","name":"Downer Woods","value":16.830294530154273,"shown":"16.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"48.1%","y2024":"64.9%"}},{"rank":47,"slug":"park-knoll","name":"Park Knoll","value":16.77226984718598,"shown":"16.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"59.7%","y2024":"76.5%"}},{"rank":48,"slug":"graceland","name":"Graceland","value":16.698292220113853,"shown":"16.7 points","extra":{"y2022":"44.0%","y2024":"60.7%"}},{"rank":49,"slug":"rufus-king","name":"Rufus King","value":16.62573673870334,"shown":"16.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"44.1%","y2024":"60.7%"}},{"rank":50,"slug":"mitchell-west","name":"Mitchell West","value":16.49433776464796,"shown":"16.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"33.1%","y2024":"49.6%"}},{"rank":51,"slug":"borchert-field","name":"Borchert Field","value":16.48626144879267,"shown":"16.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"32.0%","y2024":"48.5%"}},{"rank":52,"slug":"southpoint","name":"Southpoint","value":16.421471172962228,"shown":"16.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"27.0%","y2024":"43.4%"}},{"rank":53,"slug":"franklin-heights","name":"Franklin Heights","value":16.414820948043886,"shown":"16.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"32.6%","y2024":"49.1%"}},{"rank":54,"slug":"wilson-park","name":"Wilson Park","value":16.362660944206002,"shown":"16.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"34.0%","y2024":"50.3%"}},{"rank":55,"slug":"harambee","name":"Harambee","value":16.253535185493266,"shown":"16.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"36.3%","y2024":"52.5%"}},{"rank":56,"slug":"jackson-park","name":"Jackson Park","value":16.249997074207336,"shown":"16.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"45.5%","y2024":"61.8%"}},{"rank":57,"slug":"walnut-hill","name":"Walnut Hill","value":16.211085801063025,"shown":"16.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"25.9%","y2024":"42.1%"}},{"rank":58,"slug":"king-park","name":"King Park","value":16.01073345259392,"shown":"16.0 points","extra":{"y2022":"31.8%","y2024":"47.9%"}},{"rank":59,"slug":"arlington-heights","name":"Arlington Heights","value":15.85365853658537,"shown":"15.9 points","extra":{"y2022":"38.0%","y2024":"53.9%"}},{"rank":60,"slug":"polonia","name":"Polonia","value":15.78527240071842,"shown":"15.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"21.3%","y2024":"37.1%"}},{"rank":61,"slug":"lincoln-creek","name":"Lincoln Creek","value":15.777589613322041,"shown":"15.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"47.4%","y2024":"63.2%"}},{"rank":62,"slug":"metcalfe-park","name":"Metcalfe Park","value":15.6596794081381,"shown":"15.7 points","extra":{"y2022":"25.2%","y2024":"40.9%"}},{"rank":63,"slug":"burnham-park","name":"Burnham Park","value":15.510977728636865,"shown":"15.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"22.4%","y2024":"37.9%"}},{"rank":64,"slug":"walkers-point","name":"Walker's Point","value":15.19267680496087,"shown":"15.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"28.7%","y2024":"43.9%"}},{"rank":65,"slug":"town-of-lake","name":"Town of Lake","value":14.777657266811284,"shown":"14.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"57.5%","y2024":"72.3%"}},{"rank":66,"slug":"silver-city","name":"Silver City","value":14.534351145038165,"shown":"14.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"20.6%","y2024":"35.1%"}},{"rank":67,"slug":"miller-valley","name":"Miller Valley","value":14.5273631840796,"shown":"14.5 points","extra":{"y2022":"39.3%","y2024":"53.8%"}},{"rank":68,"slug":"garden-homes","name":"Garden Homes","value":14.416896235078053,"shown":"14.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"35.0%","y2024":"49.4%"}},{"rank":69,"slug":"historic-mitchell-street","name":"Historic Mitchell Street","value":14.169513583862045,"shown":"14.2 points","extra":{"y2022":"14.3%","y2024":"28.5%"}},{"rank":70,"slug":"cannon-park","name":"Cannon Park","value":14.051164566628483,"shown":"14.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"39.9%","y2024":"53.9%"}},{"rank":71,"slug":"lower-east-side","name":"Lower East Side","value":13.751210493881505,"shown":"13.8 points","extra":{"y2022":"48.9%","y2024":"62.6%"}},{"rank":72,"slug":"clarke-square","name":"Clarke Square","value":13.60294117647059,"shown":"13.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"14.1%","y2024":"27.7%"}},{"rank":73,"slug":"menomonee-river-valley","name":"Menomonee River Valley","value":13.577386468952735,"shown":"13.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"21.4%","y2024":"34.9%"}},{"rank":74,"slug":"muskego-way","name":"Muskego Way","value":13.427445830597506,"shown":"13.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"15.2%","y2024":"28.6%"}},{"rank":75,"slug":"st-amelians","name":"St. Amelian's","value":13.31269349845201,"shown":"13.3 points","extra":{"y2022":"50.4%","y2024":"63.7%"}},{"rank":76,"slug":"northpoint","name":"Northpoint","value":13.075237399561724,"shown":"13.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"56.6%","y2024":"69.7%"}},{"rank":77,"slug":"bluemound-heights","name":"Bluemound Heights","value":12.987012987012992,"shown":"13.0 points","extra":{"y2022":"53.9%","y2024":"66.8%"}},{"rank":78,"slug":"kops-park","name":"Kops Park","value":12.863949179460032,"shown":"12.9 points","extra":{"y2022":"59.0%","y2024":"71.8%"}},{"rank":79,"slug":"tippecanoe","name":"Tippecanoe","value":12.712585034013602,"shown":"12.7 points","extra":{"y2022":"64.5%","y2024":"77.3%"}},{"rank":80,"slug":"cooper-park","name":"Cooper Park","value":12.68106039901613,"shown":"12.7 points","extra":{"y2022":"67.1%","y2024":"79.8%"}},{"rank":81,"slug":"washington-heights","name":"Washington Heights","value":12.637222364054123,"shown":"12.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"65.4%","y2024":"78.1%"}},{"rank":82,"slug":"lincoln-village","name":"Lincoln Village","value":12.569130216189043,"shown":"12.6 points","extra":{"y2022":"15.1%","y2024":"27.6%"}},{"rank":83,"slug":"forest-home-hills","name":"Forest Home Hills","value":12.366488651535379,"shown":"12.4 points","extra":{"y2022":"18.0%","y2024":"30.3%"}},{"rank":84,"slug":"riverwest","name":"Riverwest","value":12.099366780321485,"shown":"12.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"52.8%","y2024":"64.9%"}},{"rank":85,"slug":"murray-hill","name":"Murray Hill","value":12.096774193548388,"shown":"12.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"48.2%","y2024":"60.3%"}},{"rank":86,"slug":"bay-view","name":"Bay View","value":11.055770972029755,"shown":"11.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"68.2%","y2024":"79.2%"}},{"rank":87,"slug":"concordia","name":"Concordia","value":11.04555883316945,"shown":"11.0 points","extra":{"y2022":"25.2%","y2024":"36.2%"}},{"rank":88,"slug":"story-hill","name":"Story Hill","value":10.142543859649134,"shown":"10.1 points","extra":{"y2022":"67.0%","y2024":"77.1%"}},{"rank":89,"slug":"fernwood","name":"Fernwood","value":10.027565154000362,"shown":"10.0 points","extra":{"y2022":"74.2%","y2024":"84.2%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"alcott-park","name":"Alcott Park","value":17.52165223184544,"shown":"17.5 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"54.7%","y2024":"72.2%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"alverno","name":"Alverno","value":16.100094428706324,"shown":"16.1 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"45.3%","y2024":"61.4%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"bradley-estates","name":"Bradley Estates","value":19.408866995073893,"shown":"19.4 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"56.7%","y2024":"76.1%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"brewers-hill","name":"Brewer's Hill","value":12.270155586987276,"shown":"12.3 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"56.9%","y2024":"69.2%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"brown-deer-park","name":"Brown Deer Park","value":18.4966838614591,"shown":"18.5 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"43.8%","y2024":"62.3%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"calumet-farms","name":"Calumet Farms","value":17.57792539601431,"shown":"17.6 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"48.2%","y2024":"65.8%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"cambridge-heights","name":"Cambridge Heights","value":15.246234995204727,"shown":"15.2 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"39.3%","y2024":"54.5%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"castle-manor","name":"Castle Manor","value":17.330067360685852,"shown":"17.3 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"51.3%","y2024":"68.6%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"clayton-crest","name":"Clayton Crest","value":14.525139664804465,"shown":"14.5 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"56.3%","y2024":"70.9%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"clock-tower-acres","name":"Clock Tower Acres","value":12.487309644670052,"shown":"12.5 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"29.1%","y2024":"41.6%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"college-heights","name":"College Heights","value":17.713567839195974,"shown":"17.7 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"48.1%","y2024":"65.8%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"copernicus-park","name":"Copernicus Park","value":11.722272317403071,"shown":"11.7 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"51.2%","y2024":"62.9%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"enderis-park","name":"Enderis Park","value":9.876543209876543,"shown":"9.9 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"71.3%","y2024":"81.1%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"estabrook-park","name":"Estabrook Park","value":17.365853658536583,"shown":"17.4 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"41.8%","y2024":"59.1%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"euclid-park","name":"Euclid Park","value":17.694369973190348,"shown":"17.7 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"49.3%","y2024":"67.0%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"golden-gate","name":"Golden Gate","value":18.446139180171595,"shown":"18.4 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"42.0%","y2024":"60.5%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"goldman-park","name":"Goldman Park","value":18.7221396731055,"shown":"18.7 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"47.5%","y2024":"66.2%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"gra-ram","name":"Gra-Ram","value":21.76788935658448,"shown":"21.8 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"41.4%","y2024":"63.1%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"granville-station","name":"Granville Station","value":16.389244558258643,"shown":"16.4 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"60.3%","y2024":"76.7%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"halyard-park","name":"Halyard Park","value":18.270270270270274,"shown":"18.3 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"43.4%","y2024":"61.6%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"harbor-view","name":"Harbor View","value":14.228052472250246,"shown":"14.2 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"46.9%","y2024":"61.2%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"havenwoods","name":"Havenwoods","value":20.37232564601278,"shown":"20.4 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"41.0%","y2024":"61.4%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"hawley-farms","name":"Hawley Farms","value":18.782870022539445,"shown":"18.8 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not ranked","extra":{"y2022":"42.7%","y2024":"61.5%"}},{"rank":0,"slug":"haymarket","name":"Haymarket","value":21.394611727416795,"shown":"21.4 points","below_floor":true,"floor_label":"One ward, not 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